2021 Draft advice: Report and documents

First published 8 April 2021

Below are the draft advice and evidence reports that we consulted on from 1 February to 28 March 2021. 

Our finalised advice, Ināia tonu nei: a low emissions future for Aotearoa has now been shared with the government.

Please note: The documents on this page are not our final advice. They are provided for reference only.

Download documents

Draft advice report

The full draft advice of He Pou a Rangi Climate Change Commission. It outlines our draft recommendations for reducing emissions in Aotearoa and suggests the direction of policy that Aotearoa could take to get there. This is a comprehensive read and provided the detail people needed to make a submission during consultation.  

• Download draft advice report [PDF - 4 MB]

• Download draft advice report [Microsoft Word - 4.37 MB)

Evidence report for draft advice

The following chapters outline the detailed evidence drawn on to support our recommendations and draft advice. This report accompanies the Commission’s draft advice report.

Part 1

• INTRODUCTION - Download Introduction
  

• Chapter 1: The science of climate change - Download Chapter 1

• Chapter 2: What are other countries doing? - Download Chapter 2

• Chapter 3: How to measure progress - Download Chapter 3

Part 2: Our current path

• Chapter 4: Reducing emissions - opportunities and challenges across sectors - Download Chapter 4

• Chapter 4a: Reducing emissions – opportunities and challenges across sectors - Download Chapter 4a

• Chapter 4b: Reducing emissions - opportunities and challenges across sectors - Download Chapter 4b

• Chapter 4c: Reducing emissions – opportunities and challenges across sectors - Download Chapter 4c

• Chapter 4d: Reducing emissions – opportunities and challenges across sectors - Download Chapter 4d

• Chapter 5: Removing carbon from our atmosphere - Download Chapter 5

• Chapter 6: Perspectives from Tangata Whenua: Considering emissions reductions and removals from a Te Ao Māori view - Download Chapter 6

• Chapter 7: Where are we currently heading? - Download Chapter 7

Part 3: How can we reach our climate goals?

• Chapter 8: What our future could look like - Download Chapter 8

• Chapter 9: Which path could we take? - Download Chapter 9

• Chapter 10: Requests under s5K relating to the NDC and biogenic methane - supporting evidence - Download Chapter 10

Part 4: What could this mean for New Zealanders?

• Chapter 11: Introduction: What could this mean for New Zealanders? - Download Chapter 11

• Chapter 12: How we earn our way in the world - Download Chapter 12

• Chapter 13: Households and communities - Download Chapter 13

• Chapter 14: Environment and ecology - Download Chapter 14

• Chapter 15: The mitigation – adaptation link - Download Chapter 15

Part 5: How our elected officials can make this happen

• Chapter 16: Our approach to policy - Download Chapter 16

• Chapter 17: The direction of policy for Aotearoa - Download Chapter 17
  
  

Data and modelling used for draft advice

Draft advice report charts data and scenarios dataset

• 2021 draft advice report charts and data.xlsx: contains the underlying data for all of the figures in the Commission’s 2021 Draft Advice report.

• 2021 draft advice scenarios dataset.xlsx: contains further data for our proposed path to 2035 and the other scenarios featured in our draft advice and evidence reports, for those who want to dive deeper into the numbers.

Macroeconomic modelling results and dataset

• C-PLAN model results summary.pdf: a slide deck from our modelling consultants introducing the Commission’s C-PLAN model and summarising the results we drew on for our draft advice.

• C-PLAN results dataset for 2021 draft advice.xlsx: contains results (and some inputs) from the C-PLAN model that we drew on in our draft advice.